Reddit reviews Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation: How Silicon Valley Will Make Oil, Nuclear, Natural Gas, Coal, Electric Utilities and Conventional Cars Obsolete by 2030
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Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation How Silicon Valley Will Make Oil Nuclear Natural Gas Coal Electric Utilities and Conventional Cars
Well, you can characterise it as declaring war, or as giving them a gentle nudge to start adopting new technologies to better service their markets.
There's ample evidence to show that the car industry, petroleum industry, and fossil fuel industries would prefer climate change not be discussed, and not have to react to it. And while they have responded in some ways to pressure by their customer base, they've also resisted change because it's not in their long term interest.
However as Tesla enters the market, it takes market share. It's done this to the luxury vehicle market and will do so to the other markets. This is the most effective way to ensure that these industries respond to the challenge of climate change - either they respond by producing competing products, or Tesla will over time ramp up volumes, take more market share, and disrupt them out of existence, just as has happened to Blockbuster, Kodak, Nokia.
Shareholders of companies in these markets are on notice - the long term viability (10 - 15 years) of your business is at stake. Many brands we know today will disappear. This new technology will also create new business models and opportunities - but the incumbants will have to act fast!
More on disruption of the energy market by solar/battery from Tony Seba's book and this great presentation in Oslo a few months ago.
edit: formatting and sales added
This is the latest sector report from RethinkX, the think tank founded by entrepreneur and technology theorist Tony Seba who literally wrote the book on the Clean Disruption of energy and transportation.
A few highlights of our findings from the report:
Industry Impacts
Food Cost Savings:
Jobs Lost and Gained:
Land Use and Environmental Impacts:
Health & Food Security:
Geopolitical Implications:
The first video is just a summary of Tony Seba's most recent book, which is well-cited. As I said, I have some small issues with the details, but the general picture is accurate: it will be cheaper to produce electricity 24/7, including overcapacity and storage, with solar than with any fossil fuels everywhere except the high latitudes by 2030.
The key assumptions this case makes are that 1) Swanson's Law will continue to hold in driving the cost of PV lower for at least 15 more years, and 2) the assumption that battery storage will continue to follow its current curve of around 8% improvement per year (although Tesla's gigafactory is likely to put us slightly ahead of the curve starting in 2017).
If you want to argue against the 2030 projection, you have to argue that one or both of those assumptions is wrong. Few people are doing so, including most notably the utility sector which is already withdrawing fossil-fuel-based generation capital investments in high-insolation areas like California, Texas, Arizona, Nevada, etc.
I recommend chapter 6 of Tony Seba's book Clean Disruption for more on the real-world costs of nuclear. Nuclear hasn't actually been as cheap as has been promised. Frequent large cost overruns, plus the taxpayers are often stuck with decommissioning costs.
For all the people who say "maybe now we can end the subsidies for solar," without bailouts, federal loan guarantees, and the government acting as the insurer of last resort (because no insurer will take on the liability for a nuclear accident), there would be no nuclear power industry at all.
> We can't consume our way out of climate change.
I don't want to be completely dismissive of your statement (I know your heart is in the right place), but there is a strong argument that, paradoxically, consumption is exactly how we're going to solve climate change, because the more solar and wind are bought, the more the price goes down and the more lithium ion batteries are bought, the more the price goes down.
The fossil fuel and ICE car industries are being disrupted by cheaper renewables and electric vehicles, and it could be happening much more rapidly than anyone thinks. Please see this book if interested, by a Stanford professor who has researched this subject very deeply:
www.amazon.com/Clean-Disruption-Energy-Transportation-Conventional/dp/0692210539/
By 2030, it's likely that almost all new vehicles sold will be electric. See http://www.amazon.com/Clean-Disruption-Energy-Transportation-Conventional/dp/0692210539
EDIT: I guess ExxonMobil and the Koch brothers pay people to downvote things in the environment forum lol
Don’t take my word for it:
Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation: How Silicon Valley Will Make Oil, Nuclear, Natural Gas, Coal, Electric Utilities and Conventional Cars Obsolete by 2030 https://www.amazon.com/dp/0692210539/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_api_i_zk.7Ab6XXDYSB