Reddit Reddit reviews Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences (Volume 100) (International Geophysics (Volume 100))

We found 1 Reddit comments about Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences (Volume 100) (International Geophysics (Volume 100)). Here are the top ones, ranked by their Reddit score.

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1 Reddit comment about Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences (Volume 100) (International Geophysics (Volume 100)):

u/counters ยท 1 pointr/politics

> I referred you to the study that uses statistics to determine the probability of a trend other than zero.

No, you have not. Starting with your first comment to which I responded here, you have not linked to any studies. There is a deleted comment above this one; presumably this is yours and it's what you're referring to?

> If it has a probability of greater than or equal to 5% of such a trend, then the statistical significance is less than the standard used by climatologists to make their claim of robustness

No where is such a p-level defined as a "standard used by climatologists to make their claim of robustness"; perhaps you ought to review the statistics bible of the field? In fact, robustness isn't a synonym with statistical significance; robustness refers to qualitative agreements between results derived using different tools or techniques. For instance, the "hockey stick" result is robust because different groups using different data and different methods produce qualitatively the same result. An ECS of about 3 deg C if robust because many different models with different parameterizations agree with observations on different timescales and theory of varying complexity.

> In evaluating the present shorter term trend of the pause...it is slightly downward where the earlier portions of the pause were upwards.

If the "pause" is nothing more than a period of warming temperatures followed by cooling temperatures then it's not much of a pause, is it? In fact, you've totally shot yourself in the foot here, since the entire argument explaining the irrelevance of the so-called "pause" is that climate is noisy on short timescales.

> For now the pause is extending, primarily due to increased attention to temperature manipulation by certain institutions.

Aaannnddd now we get conspiracy theories. Good for you, though, being honest about your convictions that global warming is a giant hoax. At least you don't lie about your true denial like many other denizens of /r/climateskeptics.

> i.e. making shit up.

Yes. You are making shit up.