Reddit reviews The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder

i am not a german and honestly look around you and ask yourself, was this first invented in the US?

and it was, 80% of the time. look at your calender on the wall for example, the coating, the production methods, the chemical refinery of the colors, the software it was made of, the software of the production machines, the printers, the cutting machines, the delivery systems, .. that just one fucking calender

from social progress to technology to arts to science - the US is leader in every single one of these areas. the EU is very close but it is not formally one country so no. you would bend over and let a dictatorship known for the production output of socks fuck you?

that is hilarious

i recommend you:

Ian Morris: Why the West Rules for Now
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnqS7G3LmMo

Peter Watson - Ideas: History of Humankind
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0753820897/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i17

Peter Zeihan Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=feU7HT0x_qU
the book to it - https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685

Andrew Moravcsik - What is a Superpower? What is Power? Why the EU is the 2nd Superpower of the 21st century.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DOPPyGyeh-o&t

Check out The Accidental Superpower for the population / demographics stuff. Peter Zeihan.
https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685

For the oil stuff, http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/russia/publication/rer
Way more data than needed but suffice to say that petroleum revenues in any given year represent about 1/3 to 1/2 of Russia's federal budget, 1/2 of exports, and about 10% of total GDP. That's not Saudi Arabia levels of dependency, but it's up there.

I second this. Before I left the church, I never gave much thought to this since it seemed to be a given. One book that I have read after leaving the church has, in fact, transformed how I see the U.S.

https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685

In short all of the advantages that have allowed the U.S. to be in the position that it is in is rooted in is unique geography that is not found anywhere in the world. I do not agree with all of the authors conclusions on the implications of those advantages but it is worth a read.

Many inputs got the world to 7.7 Billion.
But the limits of population levels are mostly politically based. e.g., water/food shortages vs. proper water/food usage or Reclamation cost vs. the technological investment.


The past efforts of population control by the likes of the Ford Foundation, World Bank, and Rockafeller Foundations combating Communism, which resulted in the focus on the poor in India and Asia has the all too common "unintended consequences." Read "Unnatural Selection" by Mara Hvistendahl 2011(?)


I also find that Climate groups also have a large component that feels population levels are too high. Thus wanting elective and even non-elective family sizes. Which I find cynical and sad.


So, in the end, the population by 2100 will begin to decline, which is a modern first. Now I hear that the economic model of continuous growth and consumption must change or a Malthusianism must be regulated or replaced. But until then we'll have winners and losers of societies that are perceived to overgrown, too large, or dangerous. \

I feel that we, as people, are the Ultimate Resource. And that there are little limits to humanity as a whole. Look at one mans efforts: Elon Musk. Changed the world, will likely populate a planet.


Currently, if we can even sustain populations at 2100 thereafter will require many changes in a long history of geopolitical thinking. e.g. In the book Accidental SuperPower, the author noted that Russia invaded Crimea and Ukraine due to the next military-age male population being the smallest since the late 1800s. Thus they had to act now to provide a buffer to historical invasions.... Shits fo'reals!

this meme video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAjk7Xs4IEQ is based on his book maybe that helps

youtube algorithm know some shit since it has recommended me the video

Sure.

https://www.amazon.com/The-Battle-Bretton-Woods-University/dp/0691149097

And of course,
https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685

Yes, but your reasons are completely wrong.

Just read “The Absent Superpower” by Peter Zeihan. It gives a much more in depth response than any comment here, by someone who has worked with many government officials.

https://www.amazon.com/Absent-Superpower-Revolution-Without-America/dp/099850520X/ref=pd_aw_fbt_14_img_2/136-7994388-8928145?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=099850520X&pd_rd_r=37ef741a-37a2-11e9-a692-13b9b4e07a01&pd_rd_w=iYmPw&pd_rd_wg=ex0PX&pf_rd_p=b98fa1a4-6e6e-4981-835c-7fb29e0f4dd2&pf_rd_r=6X1PVFDBWDN35BCXAA20&psc=1&refRID=6X1PVFDBWDN35BCXAA20

There is the absent superpower, but I also recommend the one that came before it:

https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685

Edit: No idea why the first one has such a longer link address

https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685

Peter has talked about a lot of these things happening for awhile! He has a great way of putting things into simple terms.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MIdUSqsz0Io

The Accidental Superpower: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1455583685/ref=cm_sw_r_sms_apa_C27syb4GWZTAA

Did you watch the video I linked above?

The Russian education attainment is sky high because during the cold war the Russians made higher education a priority to achieve technological parity with NATO. This educational system was state-funded (ie the Soviet Union paid for it).

The Soviet Union collapsed in the late 80's/early 90's. Not only did the Berlin Wall fall down, but the Soviet Union ran out of money and control. They made massive cuts to their education system. Russia is still a nation with a weak economy, almost exclusively reliant on oil exports.

Peter Zeihan's analysis is that the Russian education system has yet to recover to its former glory from the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the video I linked, he mentions that the youngest Russians who benefited from the Russian education system at its peak are in their 50's now, and the Russian male life expectancy is only in the mid 60's.

I would recommend reading Peter Zeihan's book to see his analysis.

TL;DR: The Russian population has a high tertiary education attainment percentage due to the cold war; Russia is different now. The Russian education system underwent massive funding cuts when the Soviet Union collapsed, and funding levels haven't come close to recovering. It is hard to pinpoint sources for these things, so I'm relying on Peter Zeihan's analysis.

> force the rest of the world at gunpoint to trade favorably with us?

I dont think you understand that we buy more of the worlds goods than they buy from us, if a trade war erupts, we have the technological skill, the labour, and the land full of resources to turtle it out, the EU is about 30 years off from being able to defend themselves equally, and the rest of the world is a clusterfuck of loose alliances that at best would hold out for a decade of cold war.

Not only that, but the world is dependent on us for food production, military innovation, and technological goods and services. I would love to see the world try to compete, because competition breeds excellence, we would probably win a technological race.

> All it takes is the other major players deciding otherwise for the jenga pieces to start teetering.

Even worst case, there is no way that Eurasia would be able to extend their influence into our hemisphere, let alone invade, the US has some of the most ideal geography on the planet for defense.

I highly recommend this book in the subject: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1455583685/ref=oh_aui_detailpage_o06_s01?ie=UTF8&psc=1

> Empires don't collapse overnight.

They also sometimes look like they are about to collapse and then go through a second renaissance keeping on for 200-400 years longer.