Reddit Reddit reviews The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia

We found 5 Reddit comments about The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia. Here are the top ones, ranked by their Reddit score.

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The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia
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5 Reddit comments about The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia:

u/TopoftheClock · 15 pointsr/taiwan

You guys should read this book by Ian Easton

https://www.amazon.com/Chinese-Invasion-Threat-American-Strategy/dp/1546353259

War isn't going to happen in 2020. I'd be surprised if it would happen at all. The most interesting point he brings up in his book involves geography and the weather: there's about a six week window throughout the year where it's calm enough across the strait to launch an invasion of scale. That's not enough time to move 100,000+ troops.

That being said, Taiwan really needs to take its own defense seriously. Time to crack down on draft dodging.

u/DerpyDogs · 4 pointsr/China

3/5 for the quality of the fanfic, but thanks for putting in the effort on the write-up.

But, if you actually want to read about what happens check out the excellent book by Ian Easton 'The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia'.

https://www.amazon.com/Chinese-Invasion-Threat-American-Strategy/dp/1546353259

https://thediplomat.com/2017/11/chinas-playbook-for-conquering-taiwan/

Somebody (CIA lol) leaked the PLA manual on the Taiwan question to Easton. His analysis was the basis for this book.

u/y1ng_k0 · 2 pointsr/China

No, I totally agree with you that a surprise attack is impossible. I'm trying to make the point that surprise is necessary and maybe one of the biggest deterrents of an invasion. I'm not sure about the history of amphibious assaults but I think of D-Day and Normandy and necessity of surprise to succeed.

Ian Easton, a China expert, wrote an entire book about this possible scenario titled, The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia. He says that the PLA,

"favors a minimal warning, rapid invasion campaign that employs deception and surprise to land on the island and overrun Taipei, securing the government’s capitulation before U.S.-led coalition forces could decisively engage.”

They've actually outlined and updated the scenario recently at FP.com. And they do mention the 1-million men invasion. The article says that PLA command believes they would need to attack and secure the island in no more than two weeks. Any longer and they assume the battle lost. It also assumes a lot of other things like anticipating and defending against US and Japanese counter campaigns.

Additionally, I'm not sure if it's been mentioned but another issue the PLA has to consider is Taiwan Straight is weather conditions:

"The invasion will happen in April or October. Because of the challenges posed by the strait’s weather, a transport fleet can only make it across the strait in one of these two four-week windows."

Anyways, interesting article, lays out everything that's been discussed in greater detail and fancy charts.

u/DarkLiberator · 1 pointr/worldnews

Also related, this book actually sources from Chinese and Taiwan publications. Its kind of a fascinating read, from the Chinese perspective on how to mount the Taiwan invasion and to sum up, it's going to be a pain in the ass. It doesn't matter if you have a million troops if you don't have enough ships to carry them they might as well be useless.

Apparently the Taiwan Strait is not ideal for amphibious landing because of the weather, also there's few good landing beaches (which are all monitored and their terrain has been modified over the years), and because of human intelligence any invasion efforts would be easily noticeable.

u/kiltreiser · 1 pointr/australia

Dunno where you're getting this 2-wwek idea. Your information may be outdated. This book is based on the most up to date analysis from military experts on both sides. It doesn't mention that at all, but does state that in most scenarios run by the military, Taiwan emerges the victor. https://www.amazon.com/Chinese-Invasion-Threat-American-Strategy/dp/1546353259