Reddit reviews The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

Don't know why this is getting so heavily downvoted, this is an incredibly important development.

Anyone who isn't disturbed by this doesn't understand the gravity of what's going on with Turkey.

An alliance between Turkey and Russia might very well mean a permanent end to US (i.e. Western) hegemony.

Personally, I see lots of war in the future. This is not a good development at all.

Erdogan should have never gotten to power, Turkey should have joined the EU a long time ago. What is developing now is the worst possible outcome for Europe, the US, and the Western world in general.

The real question is why exactly it happened though. It most likely can be inevitably be traced back to US warmongering in the Middle East.

Turkey will be one of the key players of the 21st century and after China the second most important puzzle piece of geopolitical developments of our lifetime. How Turkey will align itself will ultimately decide the fate of Euroasia's future.

It's really that fucking important and anyone believing it isn't should definitely read up on these topics.

As this is an American website, I will say that for Americans I would recommend to listen to/read George Friedman (founder of the American geostrategic think tank Stratfor):

Explanation of the situation and historical background.

Interview about most common points made regarding Turkey.



["The next 100 years", noteworthy book by him touching on topics like this.](
https://www.amazon.com/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057/ref=as_at?creativeASIN=0767923057&linkCode=w61&imprToken=rb7PLDckxG56jDm0nxllzA&slotNum=0)

Stratfor, the list that he is on, is a "CIA Front".
The CEO is George Friedman who appears to be the author of one of the books that he's on the list for. Is this just a book ordering list?
https://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/0767923057

This article calls it Pentagon consulting firm: http://journal-neo.org/2015/02/19/the-hilarity-of-george-soros-in-munich/

More mention as a CIA front:
http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/leaked-memo-shows-soros-ngos-payed-macedonian-students-1500-come-regime-change-ideas/ri7179

Stratfor founder George Friedman wrote a book - the Next 100 Years. In it he predicts that the three superpowers of the 22nd century will be Poland, Japan and Turkey.

(I would note the immigration policies of two of those countries...)

https://www.amazon.ca/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/0767923057

A few years ago, an analyst wrote a book (I will find the name shortly) that tried to predict the entire 21st century. One of the first things up was about how turkey was going to start the largest conflict of the century.. its insane to think he may be right this fast.

Here's the book I was referencing: http://www.amazon.com/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057

We're currently in the mini-cold war with Russia which is very interesting.

If you can get your hands on it, this is the best depiction of a future Japan.

Tl:dr - A re-militarized Japan allied with a nationalist Germany and Turkey becomes a future threat to the United States, starts WW3 or WW4 by shooting down an American space station, and there's power armor involved in all of this. I'm not making this up.

I recently read a interesting book about what might happen in the coming century.

One of the ideas is that the American (if not the world) economy works in cycles and one of the things makes it crash is trying to solve today's problem with yesterday's solution. To wit: the previous financial crsh was due to a lack of available investment. The solution was therefore to deregulate to get things started. The book proposes that once the American economy becomes strong again, it will suffer from a lack of manpower, thus driving prices offer down and prices up. Deregulation will not solve the problem but make it worse because what you need is more people making stuff. Hence immigration.

Not for quite the same reason, but Germany wants (some) immigration because their natality is low and without new people, they won't be able to maintain productivity.

There is an author who has written about the coming century and his take on Mexico is:

Its economy takes off.

It's migrants to the US never integrate because unlike every previous wave of migration the migrants are crossing a land border and do not feel the same need to integrate as Irish or Italians or Indians with an ocean separating them from home.

This creates a tension, with CA, AZ, TX etc. becoming predominantly Hispanic, perhaps Mexico offering 2nd and 3rd generation diaspora voting rights at home.

At some point (e.g. the 2080s and beyond) the border states leaving the US and joining Mexico could start to look attractive. This seems unthinkable but in 1913 so did the idea of the US being the most powerful nation on earth.

He is not speculating sequelae, just identifying a future fault line.

There are numerous reasons. Demographics, currency manipulation, and political instability being some of them.

Check out George Friedman's The Next 100 Years as a good start.

We're already seeing the beginnings of their slow down.

I think the answer is that we really can't predict much beyond that it will increase, probably substantially. There's a really good book on this topic (well, in a general sense, not specific to computing): The Next 100 Years.


The first chapter of the book points out how 100 years ago, there's no way anyone could have conceived of how things turned out technologically or politically, but that we can try to make some guesses based on current trends.

Specifically regarding computing: most of the advancement in computing power has come from the scaling (i.e. shrinking down) of CMOS technology. CMOS is the flavor of transistor manufacturing that dominates digital design, and is why Moore's law is a thing. As transistors get smaller, they consume less power and operate faster. There are also architectural improvements that help too, but the bulk of advancement is in manufacturing.

The thing is, we're getting close to the limit of how much we can shrink transistors. Eventually things will be 1 atom thin, or require only a few atoms of a certain material in a specific manufacturing step. Can't get smaller than 1 atom... From there we have to move to different types of transistors, but those are years away, so it's really hard to say what will happen.

Ahhhh that post is so embarrassing lol. *\^_\^*

It's been a while since I read it, but some of my ideas came from the book The Next 100 Years by George Friedman, who also is involved in Stratfor, if you want more glimpses of how things may turn out in the near future. Stratfor in particular is pretty dense, so maybe you'll enjoy it! He also has two books, called The Next Decade (2011) and Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe (2015) that I want to read (although the former may be a little...well, late, lol). Oh, also, CaspianReport is fantastic. :D (Pretty sure he's INTP!)

ETA: Ohhhhh I also have to recommend The Crash of 2016 by Thom Hartmann! It set its predictions a year or two early but otherwise is spot on imo. You can see a ~1 hour video on the topic of the book with its author here.

Hey, it shows taiwan. But then neither taiwan or hainan are considered coastal... Either he fails at geography, or they don't pay enough at graphics department at stratfor to check their work.

But then again, we just have 3 years to go for China to fragment; another 30 years for a great war between the United States, Turkey, Poland and Japan; and 80 years to go for US to face big, bad, Mexico. (No I'm not shitting you on the last part, read it yourself.)

Lots. In fact, nearly every book I have ever read has changed my worldview in one way or the other, some more than others. But, the most recent books to change my outlook on the world are:

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for The 21st Century by George Friedman

Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism by Naomi Klein.

Demon-Haunted World: Science As A Candle In The Dark by Carl Sagan

Sure, although it really depends on which geopolitical facets you enjoy the most.

Zbigniew Brzezinski's The Grand Chessboard. Heavily influences US foreign policy. http://www.amazon.com/Grand-Chessboard-American-Geostrategic-Imperatives/dp/0465027261/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1462464442&sr=1-1&keywords=zbigniew+brzezinski

George Friedman's The Next 100 Years. This is the guy that started Stratfor and this book is a large part of why they started getting so much attention. I really like Friedman but I do find his actual prose can be pretty droll. http://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/0767923057/ref=sr_1_3?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1462464571&sr=1-3&keywords=george+friedman

Charles Lister's The Syrian Jihad. Good read. http://www.amazon.com/Syrian-Jihad-Al-Qaeda-Evolution-Insurgency/dp/0190462477?ie=UTF8&keywords=charles%20lister&qid=1462464907&ref_=sr_1_1&s=books&sr=1-1


Any of Kissinger's books would probably be worth reading. Even if you don't like the guy, he's not dumb by any stretch, and he's still pretty influential.

If I think of more I'll post 'em.

It's been out since 2010. It's like a American nationalist sci-fi novel lol.

https://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/0767923057

So MS-13 is simply a FedEx of drugs? I doubt that assumption and what is taking place in the whole of Latin America goes beyond drugs. It's a cultural item that is deeply complex and I won't get into.

Being resistant to bribes is true but MS-13 and alike don't care at this point. The can access, move, transport with much ease once on US soil. I agree drawing attention isn't the best avenue but we're not dealing with like-minded people here.

The question is: What is their goal? I don't think it has a business plan on file with the SBA but I would think it is to spread for many base ideals. Continue recruitment and repeat. Unless someone has a solution handy, I don't think this stops until.... as I noted earlier by a few researcher publications. Cited below.

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0767923057/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i0

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1455583685/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i0

Or reading through The Next Hundred Years again.

I think many liberals are the "useful idiots" , that are getting played. This is a good book The next 100 years
The problem isn't exactly Syria or Iran. It's Iran+Turkey+Syria+(others). Does the West want to fight them one at a time or as a group...

-PamPoovey22, parent

This subreddit and bot are not in any way affiliated with the moderators of /r/The_Donald. Direct questions about removal to them.

Look at George Friedman's The Next 100 Years.

This is a good starting point on how one should be predicting which countries might become great powers and which will decline. His actual predictions don't really matter here, however; the takeaway is that long-term analysis of geopolitics relies a holistic and multidisciplinary approach and situational awareness of world events rather than simple linear extrapolations. Projections of population and GDP and other metrics are not going to give you anything close to the complete picture, even though they deceptively lead you to believe they do.

Anyway, predictions:

• India is not going to be a leading power for quite some time. I have been there - there are so many social and environmental issues that I don't even know where to begin. It is extremely overcrowded and polluted, whatever infrastructure it has is under immense strain from overuse, and its technological base is impressive but thinly spread out over a large country with over 1.3 billion people. It has a lot of talent, resources, and potential, but even in the best case scenario, most of that is going to be focused inward on solving those problems rather than projecting power and influence outward.
  
• China is already one, but it has many of the same issues that India has, and whether it is going to overtake the US as the leading hegemon is a question that is completely up in the air. The US' current stance is one of containment - control of the island chains surrounding its major trade lines is a central component of that. Provided that internal economic and demographic issues do not catch up, China will largely be focused on dislodging the US from its littoral either through diplomatic or military means.
  
• Russia is a power in terminal decline.
  
• Japan is in managed decline.
  
• Korea has potential, should it be unified.
  
• Southeast Asia will be contested ground between Pacific powers.
  
• Europe is in slow decline, and strictly speaking is not a proper power in its own right. The main power centers of Europe are Germany and France. In the absence of any significant shifts in foreign policy, their international stature is not likely to change significantly but perhaps decline over time. Poland is interestingly resurgent and will likely become a bigger player as time goes on.
  
• The Middle East is the region most likely to change over the next thirty years. The only countries truly capable of becoming major power centers there are Turkey and Iran, but only one of them, and the former is currently dealt the better hand. Saudi Arabia is an honorable mention.
  
• Sub-Saharan Africa will continue to see Chinese investment but remain largely peripheral to world affairs. However, countries there will become much more capable of confronting internal and regional issues.
  
• Australia will assert an increasingly independent foreign policy.
  
• The US will still be powerful but is likely to remain in (relative) decline. Internal political/economic issues will probably start mounting as the boomers die off. Mexico will be in much better shape on the other hand. This combined with the large Mexican-American population may become a genuine source of tension at some point - perhaps much sooner than Friedman expected, if Trump's presidential campaign was any indication.
  
• Brazil will remain, as always, the country of the future.

If your interested, read up. But no one on this site reads books...

> http://www.amazon.com/Disinformation-Strategies-Undermining-Attacking-Promoting/dp/1936488604

> http://www.amazon.com/Unholy-Alliance-Radical-Islam-American/dp/0895260263

> http://www.amazon.com/Americas-Secret-War-Worldwide-Struggle/dp/0767917855/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1453493219&sr=1-1&keywords=americas+secret+war

> http://www.amazon.com/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057

>US has two long, developed shorelines on the world's two main oceans it is in prime location for naval dominance

This is very true, with more details in the book The Next 100 Years. However it doesn't address anything besides military predominance. Even with great shorelines America has a poor health care system, is incredibly in debt, and is losing face on the world stage for exercising said military. America will be dominant but the trend is downwards, not updwards.

oh im not saying its still even remotely possible, these are long term strategic plans hence stratfor most of these were concerns prior to the first gulf war when the meddling started. the last 10-20 years have been the actions they have taken to avoid that possibility

source wise (the next 100 years by George Friedman aka one of the main guys at stratfor) http://www.amazon.ca/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057
and a pdf version if you care http://www.mysearch.org.uk/website1/pdf/715.2.pdf

the major foreign policy there has been to sew discord and keep them fighting each other so they won't work together. the US makes a lot of money off all the arms they have flooded the region with.
Israel backs the plan because it prevents them from ganging up and chasing out the zionists

Yes. That also gets into the more specific issue of America's hegemony over the seas, partly thanks to her pan-continental existence.

A few books that really discuss all these things:

https://www.amazon.ca/Prisoners-Geography-Explain-Everything-About/dp/1501121464

https://www.amazon.ca/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/0767923057

Отлучная статья от ребят которые предсказывали какой-то конфликт на одной из границ Украины еше пару лет назад, почитайте. http://www.amazon.com/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057

Чуствую к завтра эту статью переведет Petr i Mazepa.
----------------
Very good article from people who predicted some kind of conflict within Ukraine borders couple of years ago. Their book is worth a read. http://www.amazon.com/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057

Have a feeling petrimazepa.com will translate it into Russian by tomorrow.

I read this book when i was a teenager. He did really good at predicting what was going to happen. I still like to look back at what i read and see how well he did. http://www.amazon.com/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057

The current military industrial complex will never change in the U.S. The control is a geographical necessity to support the USA's existing hegemony. I wish these kind of posts about military spending would stop.

This book provides a good overview of global foreign policy, especially the USA. The future stuff may seem far fetched, but given our current information it would seem reasonable.
http://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/0767923057/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1290004768&sr=8-1

Naval control and political power:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_Thayer_Mahan

The first one: it was racist until obama requested the same thing for a different case for the exact same reason. Then the articles stopped flowing.

The other two are regressive sites nit picking small phrases to create their bubbles of fear. Taking someone out of context, or simply applying the labels 'racist, sexist, etc' to something still dont make it true.

When discussing mexico and the wall, it is about the cartels and the effect they have. If we, as a nation were to build a wall and legalize pot we would shut them down, lower our crime, better our economy and help the already nationalizing mexico muster itself into full gear for the powerhouse they could be on the international stage. Hell, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ezaw-g6TIQI this is no new topic. Read: https://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/0767923057

As for the muslims, the talk is about people from war torn areas, who have been through the worst, and are affected in ways that anyone would be. Couple that with some being raised to hate those they are coming to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi_Arabian_textbook_controversy and you have a powder keg that is currently churning in europe.

I argue semantics because the full conversation is not about race, but about the safety of us all. Let us not forget Cologne Germany so soon, or the long standing effects of the war on drugs and the cartels both domestically and abroad.

I like this one much more http://www.amazon.com/The-Next-100-Years-Forecast/dp/0767923057 . America will end, but not simply be destroyed or become a dictatorship, but rather be absorbed into a global government. I personally think the rise of the UN is inevitable.