Reddit reviews Wars, Guns, and Votes: Democracy in Dangerous Places
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> Often, militant recruits are isolated people looking for group, rather than happy and well-adjusted people who are merely extremely politically committed.
I’m in the middle of selling my house so all my books are packed away, but I believe it was “Wars Guns & Votes” in which the author built an MLR^^1 on “probability of future conflict in the next 10 years”, and found that the value for “% of population composed of unemployed males aged 18-40” was significant & predictive in the final model. I think the other important variables included “the number of very hot days”, the binary for Africa, and a few surprising ones I can’t remember.
(Hopefully this was Off-Topic and Low-Effort enough for this thread. I love this topic but it’s been years since I’ve dug up my sources on it)
1 - “it’s only an Econometric model if it comes from the Econometrics region of Chicago - otherwise it’s just a sparkling Multiple Linear Regression”